Maryland
Democrats are virtually certain to win the race for Governor.
Wes Moore is projected to get 62.3% of the vote and has a >99% chance of winning.
Dan Cox is projected to get 34.0% of the vote and has a <1% chance of winning.
How the race has evolved
Follow the statewide race's projected margin and win probability from the beginning of the cycle through the latest run.
90% confidence interval
What public polls are saying
Review the public polling inputs informing the current statewide forecast.
County-by-county outlook
Compare the model's projected margin across every county or independent city.