Rhode Island
Democrats are virtually certain to win the race for Governor.
Helena Foulkes is projected to get 50.6% of the vote and has a >99% chance of winning.
Aaron Guckian is projected to get 25.7% of the vote and has a <1% chance of winning.
Ken Block is projected to get 21.6% of the vote and has a <1% chance of winning.
How the race has evolved
Follow the statewide race's projected margin and win probability from the beginning of the cycle through the latest run.
90% confidence interval
What public polls are saying
Review the public polling inputs informing the current statewide forecast.
County-by-county outlook
Compare the model's projected margin across every county or independent city.