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South Carolina

Republicans are overwhelming favorites to win the race for Governor.

Alan Wilson is projected to get 54.3% of the vote and has a 94% chance of winning.

Jermaine Johnson is projected to get 45.7% of the vote and has a 6% chance of winning.

How the race has evolved

Follow the statewide race's projected margin and win probability from the beginning of the cycle through the latest run.

90% confidence interval

What public polls are saying

Review the public polling inputs informing the current statewide forecast.

County-by-county outlook

Compare the model's projected margin across every county or independent city.