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Vermont

Republicans are strong favorites to win the race for Governor.

Phil Scott is projected to get 52.0% of the vote and has a 88% chance of winning.

Amanda Janoo is projected to get 45.0% of the vote and has a 12% chance of winning.

Brian Judd is projected to get 1.5% of the vote and has a <1% chance of winning.

Dean Roy is projected to get 0.8% of the vote and has a <1% chance of winning.

June Goodband is projected to get 0.6% of the vote and has a <1% chance of winning.

How the race has evolved

Follow the statewide race's projected margin and win probability from the beginning of the cycle through the latest run.

90% confidence interval

What public polls are saying

Review the public polling inputs informing the current statewide forecast.

County-by-county outlook

Compare the model's projected margin across every county or independent city.