Keisha Lance Bottoms leads Rick Jackson 50% to 47% with leaners. Democrats also lead the other statewide races tested, while Trump’s job approval stands at 42%.
Field dates
October 23-27, 2026
Sample
679 likely voters
Margin of error
±3.8 points
Election
November 3, 2026
Bottoms holds a narrow lead as the race tightens
Bottoms leads Jackson 50% to 47% with leaners. Since July, Bottoms is down one point and Jackson is up three. Two percent are undecided, and another 2% have voted but do not remember or would not say their choice. The reported margin of error is ±3.8 points.
Response
July 2026
Oct 23-27
Keisha Lance Bottoms (D)
51%
50%
Rick Jackson (R)
44%
47%
Don't know
4%
2%
Don't remember
—
2%
McLaurin keeps a four-point edge
McLaurin leads Dolezal 49% to 45%, with both candidates up one point since July. Three percent are undecided; another 3% have already voted but do not remember or would not say their choice.
Response
July 2026
Oct 23-27
Josh McLaurin (D)
48%
49%
Greg Dolezal (R)
44%
45%
Don't know
9%
3%
Don't remember
—
3%
The people behind the poll
Each dot represents one of the 741 responses included in the weighted poll, colored by Governor choice. Dots are placed illustratively within the briefing’s regions, not at respondents’ locations. County boundaries provide geographic context, not county-level results.
Region
Responses
Keisha Lance Bottoms (D)
Rick Jackson (R)
Don't know
Don't remember / would not say
Inner Atlanta
142
112
24
3
3
Suburban Atlanta
200
126
64
5
5
Exurban Atlanta
153
69
78
3
3
Rest of Georgia
246
107
132
2
5
Reynolds leads Fleming
Penny Brown Reynolds leads Tim Fleming 49% to 45%. Three percent are undecided, and 3% have already voted but do not remember or would not say their choice.
Response
Value
Penny Brown Reynolds (D)
49%
Tim Fleming (R)
45%
Don't know
3%
Don't remember
3%
Miller has a three-point advantage
Tanya Miller leads Brian Strickland 49% to 46%. Three percent are undecided, while 2% have voted but do not remember or would not say their choice.
Response
Value
Tanya Miller (D)
49%
Brian Strickland (R)
46%
Don't know
3%
Don't remember
2%
Democrats lead the State House ballot
The generic Democratic candidate leads 51% to 44%. Democratic support is unchanged since July; Republican support is up one point.
Response
July 2026
Oct 23-27
Democrat
51%
51%
Republican
43%
44%
Don't know
6%
2%
Don't remember
—
3%
Trump’s disapproval remains broad
Trump’s overall approval is 42%, compared with 57% disapproval. In the detailed responses, 54% strongly disapprove and 28% strongly approve. The detailed categories and toplines retain the briefing’s separate rounding.
Response
July 2026
October 23-27
Change
Strongly approve
29%
28%
-1 pp
Somewhat approve
12%
13%
+1 pp
Somewhat disapprove
3%
4%
+1 pp
Strongly disapprove
53%
54%
+1 pp
Don't know
3%
1%
-2 pp
Team notes and analysis
Chaz Nuttycombe on our sample
Our October sample is more reflective of the electorate than July's.
Before any weighting, our October respondents recall voting for Kamala Harris over Donald Trump by 17 points among 2024 Harris and Trump voters, down from 18 points in our raw July sample. That shift reflects our effort to reach voters who rarely answer polls. Respondents without a four-year degree are 48% of the raw sample, up from 45% in July, with the gains among voters with a high school diploma or less (15%, up from 12%) and white voters without a degree (29%, up from 27%), while postgraduates fell from 28% to 24%. Lower-income voters are up as well: 22% report household incomes under $50,000, against 17% in July.
Georgia statewide briefing, October 2026, PDF page 9.
Chaz Nuttycombe on following up on a recall-weighted stress test
Jackson's spending advantage hasn't made a dent in the race.
In our July briefing, Mary Radcliffe stress-tested that poll by swapping our party ID weight for a 2024 recalled-vote weight set at Harris +1, a tougher electorate for Democrats reflecting a swing like the one we saw in Virginia last year. Even then, Bottoms led by 4 points, McLaurin by 3, and a generic Democrat for the state legislature by 5. Our October likely voters land on nearly that same electorate without being weighted to it: they recall Harris +1 in 2024. On that footing, Bottoms leads by 2.8 points, about 1 point closer than Mary's July test, while McLaurin (D +4) and the generic State House ballot (D +7) are essentially where they were. Since July, Jackson has opened up a large spending advantage, yet the governor's race has moved only about 1 point in his direction, well within the margin of error, and the races below him have not moved at all. So far, his money has not changed the race.
Georgia statewide briefing, October 2026, PDF page 9.
Chaz Nuttycombe on low-propensity voters
Democrats' irregular voters are showing up; Republicans' aren't, at least not yet.
Measured by the voter file, 45% of our likely voters skipped at least one of the last four general elections. Those voters lean sharply Democratic. 52% of Democrats in our sample are low- or mid-propensity voters (fewer than four of the last four generals), against 37% of Republicans, and 35% of Democrats voted in two or fewer, against 27% of Republicans. Among likely voters who voted in only zero to two of those generals, Democrats outnumber Republicans 50% to 37%; among those who voted in three, it is 61% to 37%. Only among voters who never miss an election do Republicans lead (51% to 40%).
That shows up in the governor's race. Bottoms leads among low-propensity voters (Bottoms +14) and mid-propensity voters (Bottoms +28), while Jackson wins the habitual voters (Jackson +9). It is not just stated intent: 66% of mid-propensity Democrats say they have already voted, against 27% of mid-propensity Republicans. Republicans' irregular voters may still turn out on Election Day, and Jackson's path runs through them, but right now Democrats are getting more of their less reliable voters to the polls. Propensity groups below 100 respondents should be read as directional.
Georgia statewide briefing, October 2026, PDF page 10.
Explore all results
Explore the ballots, approvals, demographics, election history, and regional detail from the complete briefing.
2024 President: Trump +2.2
Historical election results as printed in the briefing. Printed margins and rounded shares are preserved independently. PDF page 2
Response
Value
Donald Trump (R)
50.7%
Kamala Harris (D)
48.5%
2022 U.S. Senate: Warnock +1.0
Historical election results as printed in the briefing. Printed margins and rounded shares are preserved independently. PDF page 2
Response
Value
Raphael Warnock (D)
49.4%
Herschel Walker (R)
48.5%
2022 Governor: Kemp +7.5
Historical election results as printed in the briefing. Printed margins and rounded shares are preserved independently. PDF page 2
Response
Value
Brian Kemp (R)
53.4%
Stacey Abrams (D)
45.9%
2020 President: Biden +0.2
Historical election results as printed in the briefing. Printed margins and rounded shares are preserved independently. PDF page 2
Response
Value
Joe Biden (D)
49.5%
Donald Trump (R)
49.2%
Party identification with leaners
Weighted likely voters. Percentages are rounded as printed in the briefing. PDF page 3
Response
Value
Democrat
46.0%
Republican
44.8%
Neither
9.2%
Vote history: last four general elections
Weighted likely voters. Percentages are rounded as printed in the briefing. PDF page 3
Response
Value
4 of 4
55.4%
3 of 4
12.5%
2 of 4
12.0%
1 of 4
9.7%
0 of 4
10.4%
Race
Weighted likely voters. Percentages are rounded as printed in the briefing. PDF page 3
Response
Value
White
58.0%
Black
32.9%
Latino
4.9%
Asian American
2.0%
Other / multiracial
2.3%
Age
Weighted likely voters. Percentages are rounded as printed in the briefing. PDF page 3
Response
Value
18-29
10.8%
30-44
22.3%
45-64
37.2%
65+
29.7%
Education
Weighted likely voters. Percentages are rounded as printed in the briefing. PDF page 3
Response
Value
High school or less
30.5%
Some college
29.3%
Bachelor’s degree
24.7%
Postgraduate
15.5%
2024 presidential vote recalled
Weighted likely voters. Percentages are rounded as printed in the briefing. PDF page 3
Response
Value
Harris (D)
46.2%
Trump (R)
44.7%
Third party
2.8%
Did not vote / no answer
6.0%
Ideological self-identification
Weighted likely voters. Percentages are rounded as printed in the briefing. PDF page 3
Response
Value
Progressives / Liberals
30.6%
Moderates / Center
26.7%
Conservatives
34.5%
Skipped / Don’t know
8.2%
Already voted?
Weighted likely voters. Percentages are rounded as printed in the briefing. PDF page 3
Response
Value
Already voted
49.0%
Not yet voted
51.0%
Governor with leaners
If the election for Governor were held today, which candidate would you vote for? (includes voters who already cast a ballot)
Weighted likely voters. Percentages are rounded as printed in the briefing. “Don’t remember” covers people who already voted but do not remember or would not say their choice. July values are recovered from the printed changes; no July value is reported for “Don’t remember”. PDF page 4
Response
July 2026
October 23-27
Change
Keisha Lance Bottoms (D)
51%
50%
-1 pp
Rick Jackson (R)
44%
47%
+3 pp
Don't know
4%
2%
-2 pp
Don't remember
Not reported
2%
Not comparable
Governor before undecided push
If the election for Governor were held today, which candidate would you vote for? (initial ballot, before leaner follow-up)
Weighted likely voters. Percentages are rounded as printed in the briefing. “Don’t remember” covers people who already voted but do not remember or would not say their choice. PDF page 4
Response
Value
Keisha Lance Bottoms (D)
49%
Rick Jackson (R)
46%
Don't know
3%
Don't remember
2%
Trump job approval
Do you approve or disapprove of the job Donald Trump is doing as President?
Weighted likely voters. Percentages are rounded as printed in the briefing. July values are recovered from the printed changes. Detailed responses and separately printed toplines retain their rounding differences. PDF page 4
Response
July 2026
October 23-27
Change
Approve
41%
42%
+1 pp
Disapprove
56%
57%
+1 pp
Don't know
3%
1%
-2 pp
Trump job approval in detail
Do you approve or disapprove of the job Donald Trump is doing as President?
Weighted likely voters. Percentages are rounded as printed in the briefing. July values are recovered from the printed changes. Detailed responses and separately printed toplines retain their rounding differences. PDF page 4
Response
July 2026
October 23-27
Change
Strongly approve
29%
28%
-1 pp
Somewhat approve
12%
13%
+1 pp
Somewhat disapprove
3%
4%
+1 pp
Strongly disapprove
53%
54%
+1 pp
Don't know
3%
1%
-2 pp
Lieutenant Governor with leaners
If the election for Lieutenant Governor were held today, which candidate would you vote for?
Weighted likely voters. Percentages are rounded as printed in the briefing. “Don’t remember” covers people who already voted but do not remember or would not say their choice. July values are recovered from the printed changes; no July value is reported for “Don’t remember”. PDF page 5
Response
July 2026
October 23-27
Change
Josh McLaurin (D)
48%
49%
+1 pp
Greg Dolezal (R)
44%
45%
+1 pp
Don't know
9%
3%
-6 pp
Don't remember
Not reported
3%
Not comparable
Secretary of State with leaners
If the election for Secretary of State were held today, which candidate would you vote for?
Weighted likely voters. Percentages are rounded as printed in the briefing. “Don’t remember” covers people who already voted but do not remember or would not say their choice. PDF page 5
Response
Value
Penny Brown Reynolds (D)
49%
Tim Fleming (R)
45%
Don't know
3%
Don't remember
3%
Attorney General with leaners
If the election for Attorney General were held today, which candidate would you vote for?
Weighted likely voters. Percentages are rounded as printed in the briefing. “Don’t remember” covers people who already voted but do not remember or would not say their choice. PDF page 5
Response
Value
Tanya Miller (D)
49%
Brian Strickland (R)
46%
Don't know
3%
Don't remember
2%
State House generic ballot
If the election for your Georgia House of Representatives race were held today, which candidate would you vote for?
Weighted likely voters. Percentages are rounded as printed in the briefing. “Don’t remember” covers people who already voted but do not remember or would not say their choice. July values are recovered from the printed changes; no July value is reported for “Don’t remember”. PDF page 5
Response
July 2026
October 23-27
Change
Democrat
51%
51%
No change
Republican
43%
44%
+1 pp
Don't know
6%
2%
-4 pp
Don't remember
Not reported
3%
Not comparable
Early vote: Governor vote
Weighted respondents: 451 already voted and 290 not yet voted. L2 party benchmark: 1.93 million ballots as of October 27, 9:27 AM. VoteHub other benchmarks: 1.91 million ballots, October 27, 9:17 AM EDT. Differences are the survey minus the external benchmark, in percentage points, as printed. PDF page 6
Response
L2 / VoteHub early vote
Our early voters
Difference (pp)
Our not yet voted
Bottoms (D)
n/a
55.2%
—
44.2%
Jackson (R)
n/a
40.9%
—
52.4%
Don’t remember (voted) / Don’t know (not yet)
n/a
3.9%
—
3.5%
Weighted respondents: 451 already voted and 290 not yet voted. L2 party benchmark: 1.93 million ballots as of October 27, 9:27 AM. VoteHub other benchmarks: 1.91 million ballots, October 27, 9:17 AM EDT. Differences are the survey minus the external benchmark, in percentage points, as printed.
Early vote: 2024 presidential vote
Weighted respondents: 451 already voted and 290 not yet voted. L2 party benchmark: 1.93 million ballots as of October 27, 9:27 AM. VoteHub other benchmarks: 1.91 million ballots, October 27, 9:17 AM EDT. Differences are the survey minus the external benchmark, in percentage points, as printed. 2024 voters only; VoteHub modeled vote versus survey recall. PDF page 6
Response
L2 / VoteHub early vote
Our early voters
Difference (pp)
Our not yet voted
Harris (D)
54.3%
55.2%
+0.9
43.4%
Trump (R)
45.1%
41.1%
-4.0
54.4%
Third party
0.6%
3.8%
+3.2
2.1%
Weighted respondents: 451 already voted and 290 not yet voted. L2 party benchmark: 1.93 million ballots as of October 27, 9:27 AM. VoteHub other benchmarks: 1.91 million ballots, October 27, 9:17 AM EDT. Differences are the survey minus the external benchmark, in percentage points, as printed. 2024 voters only; VoteHub modeled vote versus survey recall.
Early vote: Party identification
Weighted respondents: 451 already voted and 290 not yet voted. L2 party benchmark: 1.93 million ballots as of October 27, 9:27 AM. VoteHub other benchmarks: 1.91 million ballots, October 27, 9:17 AM EDT. Differences are the survey minus the external benchmark, in percentage points, as printed. Survey leaned party identification versus L2 modeled party identification. PDF page 6
Response
L2 / VoteHub early vote
Our early voters
Difference (pp)
Our not yet voted
Democrat
53.2%
52.3%
-0.9
40.0%
Republican
38.2%
39.5%
+1.3
49.8%
Independent (no lean) / L2 nonpartisan
8.6%
8.2%
-0.4
10.1%
Weighted respondents: 451 already voted and 290 not yet voted. L2 party benchmark: 1.93 million ballots as of October 27, 9:27 AM. VoteHub other benchmarks: 1.91 million ballots, October 27, 9:17 AM EDT. Differences are the survey minus the external benchmark, in percentage points, as printed. Survey leaned party identification versus L2 modeled party identification.
Early vote: Race
Weighted respondents: 451 already voted and 290 not yet voted. L2 party benchmark: 1.93 million ballots as of October 27, 9:27 AM. VoteHub other benchmarks: 1.91 million ballots, October 27, 9:17 AM EDT. Differences are the survey minus the external benchmark, in percentage points, as printed. PDF page 6
Response
L2 / VoteHub early vote
Our early voters
Difference (pp)
Our not yet voted
White
55.1%
56.5%
+1.4
59.4%
Black
35.7%
35.8%
+0.1
30.1%
Latino / Hispanic
4.7%
4.6%
-0.1
5.2%
Asian and other
4.4%
3.1%
-1.3
5.3%
Weighted respondents: 451 already voted and 290 not yet voted. L2 party benchmark: 1.93 million ballots as of October 27, 9:27 AM. VoteHub other benchmarks: 1.91 million ballots, October 27, 9:17 AM EDT. Differences are the survey minus the external benchmark, in percentage points, as printed.
Early vote: Age
Weighted respondents: 451 already voted and 290 not yet voted. L2 party benchmark: 1.93 million ballots as of October 27, 9:27 AM. VoteHub other benchmarks: 1.91 million ballots, October 27, 9:17 AM EDT. Differences are the survey minus the external benchmark, in percentage points, as printed. PDF page 6
Response
L2 / VoteHub early vote
Our early voters
Difference (pp)
Our not yet voted
18-29
8.6%
9.2%
+0.6
12.3%
30-44
14.0%
21.2%
+7.2
23.4%
45-64
35.8%
35.5%
-0.3
38.9%
65 or older
41.7%
34.1%
-7.6
25.4%
Weighted respondents: 451 already voted and 290 not yet voted. L2 party benchmark: 1.93 million ballots as of October 27, 9:27 AM. VoteHub other benchmarks: 1.91 million ballots, October 27, 9:17 AM EDT. Differences are the survey minus the external benchmark, in percentage points, as printed.
Early vote: Turnout history
Weighted respondents: 451 already voted and 290 not yet voted. L2 party benchmark: 1.93 million ballots as of October 27, 9:27 AM. VoteHub other benchmarks: 1.91 million ballots, October 27, 9:17 AM EDT. Differences are the survey minus the external benchmark, in percentage points, as printed. General-election history from 2018 through 2024, from the voter file. PDF page 6
Response
L2 / VoteHub early vote
Our early voters
Difference (pp)
Our not yet voted
Voted in 2024: recalled a vote
94.1%
95.7%
+1.6
92.2%
Voted in 2024: voter file
94.1%
90.0%
-4.1
79.5%
Voted in 4 of the last 4 generals
66.6%
61.2%
-5.4
49.8%
Voted in 3 of the last 4 generals
13.5%
13.3%
-0.2
11.7%
Voted in 2 of the last 4 generals
7.7%
11.3%
+3.6
12.6%
Voted in 1 of the last 4 generals
7.4%
6.8%
-0.6
12.4%
Voted in 0 of the last 4 generals
4.8%
7.4%
+2.6
13.4%
Weighted respondents: 451 already voted and 290 not yet voted. L2 party benchmark: 1.93 million ballots as of October 27, 9:27 AM. VoteHub other benchmarks: 1.91 million ballots, October 27, 9:17 AM EDT. Differences are the survey minus the external benchmark, in percentage points, as printed. General-election history from 2018 through 2024, from the voter file.
Governor margin by region
Weighted likely voters. Respondent counts: Inner Atlanta 142; Suburban Atlanta 200; Exurban Atlanta 153; Rest of Georgia 246. Rest of Georgia combines five of the eight weighting regions. PDF page 7
Response
Value
Inner Atlanta
59 pp toward Bottoms
Suburban Atlanta
22 pp toward Bottoms
Exurban Atlanta
15 pp toward Jackson
Rest of Georgia
29 pp toward Jackson
Regional swing from 2024 President
Weighted likely voters. Respondent counts: Inner Atlanta 142; Suburban Atlanta 200; Exurban Atlanta 153; Rest of Georgia 246. Rest of Georgia combines five of the eight weighting regions. Governor margin (Bottoms minus Jackson) minus the 2024 presidential margin (Harris minus Trump). PDF page 7
Response
Value
Inner Atlanta
6 pp toward Democrats
Suburban Atlanta
1 pp toward Republicans
Exurban Atlanta
19 pp toward Democrats
Rest of Georgia
2 pp toward Republicans
Region weights
Weighted likely voters. Respondent counts: Inner Atlanta 142; Suburban Atlanta 200; Exurban Atlanta 153; Rest of Georgia 246. Rest of Georgia combines five of the eight weighting regions. Share of weighted sample. PDF page 7
Response
Value
Inner Atlanta
18.8%
Suburban Atlanta
25.4%
Exurban Atlanta
17.6%
Rest of Georgia
38.3%
Ideology by voter group
Self-placement on a 0-10 scale: 10 is most progressive; 0 is far right. July did not ask this scale. 8.2% skipped the question. Group averages are weighted among respondents who placed themselves. Undecided Governor voters have not yet voted; DR voters already voted but do not remember or would not say their choice. PDF page 8
Response
Value
Bottoms (D) voters
7.4
McLaurin (D) voters
7.3
Voted, DR on Governor
5.1
All voters
5.0
Undecided Governor voters
4.9
Jackson (R) voters
2.5
Dolezal (R) voters
2.4
Detailed ideological self-placement
Self-placement on a 0-10 scale: 10 is most progressive; 0 is far right. July did not ask this scale. 8.2% skipped the question. Group averages are weighted among respondents who placed themselves. Undecided Governor voters have not yet voted; DR voters already voted but do not remember or would not say their choice. PDF page 8
Response
Value
10. Democratic Socialist
10.8%
9. Extremely Progressive / Liberal
3.9%
8. Very Progressive / Liberal
6.8%
7. Progressive / Liberal
9.0%
6. Center-left
6.5%
5. Moderate / Centrist
12.2%
4. Center-right
8.1%
3. Conservative
11.5%
2. Very Conservative
11.5%
1. Extremely Conservative
6.1%
0. Far Right
5.4%
Skipped / Don't know
8.2%
Where each party’s voters fall
Weighted likely voters. Propensity is general elections voted in, 2018-2024, from the voter file. Party is leaned party identification. All four: n=448; three of four: n=89; zero to two: n=204. Groups below 100 respondents should be read as directional. PDF page 10
Response
All 4 of the last 4
3 of 4
0 to 2 of 4
Share of all likely voters
55%
13%
32%
Share of Democrats
48%
17%
35%
Share of Republicans
63%
10%
27%
Weighted likely voters. Propensity is general elections voted in, 2018-2024, from the voter file. Party is leaned party identification. All four: n=448; three of four: n=89; zero to two: n=204. Groups below 100 respondents should be read as directional.
Party mix within each propensity group
Weighted likely voters. Propensity is general elections voted in, 2018-2024, from the voter file. Party is leaned party identification. All four: n=448; three of four: n=89; zero to two: n=204. Groups below 100 respondents should be read as directional. PDF page 10
Response
All 4 of the last 4
3 of 4
0 to 2 of 4
Democrats
40%
61%
50%
Republicans
51%
37%
37%
Weighted likely voters. Propensity is general elections voted in, 2018-2024, from the voter file. Party is leaned party identification. All four: n=448; three of four: n=89; zero to two: n=204. Groups below 100 respondents should be read as directional.
Governor margin by propensity
Weighted likely voters. Propensity is general elections voted in, 2018-2024, from the voter file. Party is leaned party identification. All four: n=448; three of four: n=89; zero to two: n=204. Groups below 100 respondents should be read as directional. PDF page 10
Response
All 4 of the last 4
3 of 4
0 to 2 of 4
Margin: Bottoms minus Jackson
Jackson +9
Bottoms +28
Bottoms +14
Weighted likely voters. Propensity is general elections voted in, 2018-2024, from the voter file. Party is leaned party identification. All four: n=448; three of four: n=89; zero to two: n=204. Groups below 100 respondents should be read as directional.
Already voted by party and propensity
Weighted likely voters. Propensity is general elections voted in, 2018-2024, from the voter file. Party is leaned party identification. All four: n=448; three of four: n=89; zero to two: n=204. Groups below 100 respondents should be read as directional. PDF page 10
Response
All 4 of the last 4
3 of 4
0 to 2 of 4
Democrats who have already voted
62%
66%
42%
Republicans who have already voted
48%
27%
38%
Weighted likely voters. Propensity is general elections voted in, 2018-2024, from the voter file. Party is leaned party identification. All four: n=448; three of four: n=89; zero to two: n=204. Groups below 100 respondents should be read as directional.
Governor: July to October
If the election for Governor were held today, which candidate would you vote for? (includes voters who already cast a ballot)
Weighted likely voters. Percentages are rounded as printed in the briefing. “Don’t remember” covers people who already voted but do not remember or would not say their choice. July values are recovered from the printed changes; no July value is reported for “Don’t remember”. PDF page 4
Response
July 2026
Oct 23-27
Keisha Lance Bottoms (D)
51%
50%
Rick Jackson (R)
44%
47%
Don't know
4%
2%
Don't remember
—
2%
Lieutenant Governor: July to October
If the election for Lieutenant Governor were held today, which candidate would you vote for?
Weighted likely voters. Percentages are rounded as printed in the briefing. “Don’t remember” covers people who already voted but do not remember or would not say their choice. July values are recovered from the printed changes; no July value is reported for “Don’t remember”. PDF page 5
Response
July 2026
Oct 23-27
Josh McLaurin (D)
48%
49%
Greg Dolezal (R)
44%
45%
Don't know
9%
3%
Don't remember
—
3%
State House: July to October
If the election for your Georgia House of Representatives race were held today, which candidate would you vote for?
Weighted likely voters. Percentages are rounded as printed in the briefing. “Don’t remember” covers people who already voted but do not remember or would not say their choice. July values are recovered from the printed changes; no July value is reported for “Don’t remember”. PDF page 5
Response
July 2026
Oct 23-27
Democrat
51%
51%
Republican
43%
44%
Don't know
6%
2%
Don't remember
—
3%
Governor responses by region
Unweighted responses included in the weighted poll. One dot represents one response, colored by Governor choice including leaners. Positions are synthetic within the briefing’s four regions, not respondent locations. County boundaries provide geographic context only; dots do not represent county-level counts. The five regions outside metro Atlanta are combined as in the briefing
Region
Responses
Keisha Lance Bottoms (D)
Rick Jackson (R)
Don't know
Don't remember / would not say
Inner Atlanta
142
112
24
3
3
Suburban Atlanta
200
126
64
5
5
Exurban Atlanta
153
69
78
3
3
Rest of Georgia
246
107
132
2
5
How the survey was conducted
State Navigate surveyed 679 likely voters across Georgia from October 23-27, 2026 (741 respondents; fielding closed October 27). Text messages were sent to voters by AllianceForge, which directed them to an online survey hosted on the SurveyMonkey platform. The sample was drawn from a voter file provided by L2, and results were weighted by gender, race, education, race by education, age, leaned party identification, and region to reflect the likely November 2026 general electorate, with weighting benchmarks derived from L2 voter file data in conjunction with AP VoteCast. The margin of error is 3.8% at a 95% confidence level. This survey was designed and conducted by the State Navigate Polling Team, and was not sponsored by any candidate or candidate's committee. On the ballot and approval charts, the dark tick marks our July 2026 Georgia poll and the small figure is the change since then; on the ballot charts, the dashed box around each candidate's bar spans the margin of error.
