Donate

Wisconsin

Explore the latest statewide forecast, projected vote, and public polling.

Democrats are solid favorites to win the race for Governor.

David C. Crowley II is projected to get 51.9% of the vote and has a 74% chance of winning.

Tom Tiffany is projected to get 48.1% of the vote and has a 26% chance of winning.

How the race has evolved

Follow the statewide race's projected margin and win probability from the beginning of the cycle through the latest run.

90% confidence interval

What public polls are saying

Review the public polling inputs informing the current statewide forecast.

County-by-county outlook

Compare the model's projected margin across every county or independent city.